Abilene Chr
W-L: (23-11) PR = 94.2492Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A HPAYN **-33 1107 A Incarn Word SL (12-17, 92.6) 69-56 1111 A UTRGV SL (19-14, 93.6) 76-58 1114 H SF Austin SL (23-10, 93.9) 76-77 1119 A No Texas AME (18-14, 94.6) 60-51 1128 H Northwestern B10 ( 8-21, 94.7) 59-62 1129 H Bradley MV (19-13, 94.2) 74-80 1202 A MCMUR **-60 1206 A Ea Texas A&M SL (12-17, 92.3) 72-55 1214 H Texas Tech B12 (26- 8, 96.6) 57-67 1219 A Montana BS ( 8-22, 92.9) 60-48 1220 A Buffalo MA ( 3-28, 91.6) 72-48 101 A Utah Tech WAC U ( 8-20, 92.6) 81-51 103 H Utah Valley WAC U (15-15, 93.6) 67-69 108 A Tarleton St WAC T (13-17, 93.2) 64-59 110 A UT Arlington WAC U (12-21, 93.2) 59-56 115 A Cal Baptist WAC C (23-11, 94.4) 70-58 117 A So Utah WAC S (15-12, 93.8) 82-54 129 A Utah Tech WAC U ( 8-20, 92.6) 54-46 131 H So Utah WAC S (15-12, 93.8) 68-71 203 A Tarleton St WAC T (13-17, 93.2) 68-65 205 A Utah Valley WAC U (15-15, 93.6) 70-50 207 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23-11, 94.4) 71-74 212 A UT Arlington WAC U (12-21, 93.2) 72-63 214 A Tarleton St WAC T (13-17, 93.2) 72-67 222 H So Utah WAC S (15-12, 93.8) 70-78 226 A Utah Tech WAC U ( 8-20, 92.6) 76-66 228 A Utah Valley WAC U (15-15, 93.6) 58-57 305 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23-11, 94.4) 69-76 307 A UT Arlington WAC U (12-21, 93.2) 72-57 313 A UT Arlington WAC U (12-21, 93.2) 70-50 314 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23-11, 94.4) 58-74 324 A Florida Int CUSA (21-12, 94.3) 77-66 327 H Illinois St MV (23-13, 94.4) 55-59
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 A Incarn Word 69-56 13 2 0.34
1111 A UTRGV 76-58 18 1 1.38
1114 H SF Austin 76-77 -1 0 -1.33
1119 A No Texas 60-51 9 0 + 2.41
1128 H Northwestern 59-62 -3 0 -1.52
1129 H Bradley 74-80 -6 0 - -2.05
1206 A Ea Texas A&M 72-55 17 2 0.05
1214 H Texas Tech 57-67 -10 -2 0.00
1219 A Montana 60-48 12 1 0.64
1220 A Buffalo 72-48 24 3 0.00
101 A Utah Tech 81-51 30 2 0.31
103 H Utah Valley 67-69 -2 1 - -2.66
108 A Tarleton St 64-59 5 1 1.01
110 A UT Arlington 59-56 3 1 0.92
115 A Cal Baptist 70-58 12 0 + 2.14
117 A So Utah 82-54 28 0 1.58
129 A Utah Tech 54-46 8 2 0.31
131 H So Utah 68-71 -3 0 - -2.44
203 A Tarleton St 68-65 3 1 1.01
205 A Utah Valley 70-50 20 1 1.36
207 H Cal Baptist 71-74 -3 0 -1.88
212 A UT Arlington 72-63 9 1 0.92
214 A Tarleton St 72-67 5 1 1.01
222 H So Utah 70-78 -8 0 - -2.44
226 A Utah Tech 76-66 10 2 0.31
228 A Utah Valley 58-57 1 1 0.36
305 H Cal Baptist 69-76 -7 0 -1.88
307 A UT Arlington 72-57 15 1 0.92
313 A UT Arlington 70-50 20 1 0.92
314 H Cal Baptist 58-74 -16 0 -1.88
324 A Florida Int 77-66 11 0 + 2.10
327 H Illinois St 55-59 -4 0 -1.87
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1129 H Bradley 74-80 -6 0 - -2.05 103 H Utah Valley 67-69 -2 1 - -2.66 131 H So Utah 68-71 -3 0 - -2.44 222 H So Utah 70-78 -8 0 - -2.44 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1119 A No Texas 60-51 9 0 + 2.41 115 A Cal Baptist 70-58 12 0 + 2.14 324 A Florida Int 77-66 11 0 + 2.10 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Incarn Word (12-17, 92.6) 69-56 -7.32 3.64 0.01 0.95 6.92
3 A UTRGV (19-14, 93.6) 76-58 -6.29 4.67 0.01 0.95 8.89
3 H SF Austin (23-10, 93.9) 76-77 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 0.95 -2.84
3 A No Texas (18-14, 94.6) 60-51 -5.25 5.71 0.01 0.95 10.85
3 H Northwestern ( 8-21, 94.7) 59-62 -5.16 5.80 -0.01 0.95 -2.45
3 H Bradley (19-13, 94.2) 74-80 -5.70 5.27 -0.01 0.95 -2.71
3 A Ea Texas A&M (12-17, 92.3) 72-55 -7.61 3.35 0.01 0.95 6.38
3 H Texas Tech (26- 8, 96.6) 57-67 -3.31 7.65 -0.01 0.95 -1.58
3 A Montana ( 8-22, 92.9) 60-48 -7.02 3.94 0.01 0.95 7.48
3 A Buffalo ( 3-28, 91.6) 72-48 -8.29 2.67 0.01 0.95 5.08
3 A Utah Tech ( 8-20, 92.6) 81-51 -7.35 3.61 0.01 0.95 6.87
3 H Utah Valley (15-15, 93.6) 67-69 -6.30 4.66 -0.01 0.95 -2.99
3 A Tarleton St (13-17, 93.2) 64-59 -6.65 4.31 0.01 0.95 8.19
3 A UT Arlington (12-21, 93.2) 59-56 -6.75 4.21 0.01 0.95 8.01
3 A Cal Baptist (23-11, 94.4) 70-58 -5.52 5.44 0.01 0.95 10.33
3 A So Utah (15-12, 93.8) 82-54 -6.08 4.88 0.01 0.95 9.27
3 A Utah Tech ( 8-20, 92.6) 54-46 -7.35 3.61 0.01 0.95 6.87
3 H So Utah (15-12, 93.8) 68-71 -6.08 4.88 -0.01 0.95 -2.89
3 A Tarleton St (13-17, 93.2) 68-65 -6.65 4.31 0.01 0.95 8.19
3 A Utah Valley (15-15, 93.6) 70-50 -6.30 4.66 0.01 0.95 8.86
3 H Cal Baptist (23-11, 94.4) 71-74 -5.52 5.44 -0.01 0.95 -2.62
3 A UT Arlington (12-21, 93.2) 72-63 -6.75 4.21 0.01 0.95 8.01
3 A Tarleton St (13-17, 93.2) 72-67 -6.65 4.31 0.01 0.95 8.19
3 H So Utah (15-12, 93.8) 70-78 -6.08 4.88 -0.01 0.95 -2.89
3 A Utah Tech ( 8-20, 92.6) 76-66 -7.35 3.61 0.01 0.95 6.87
3 A Utah Valley (15-15, 93.6) 58-57 -6.30 4.66 0.01 0.95 8.86
3 H Cal Baptist (23-11, 94.4) 69-76 -5.52 5.44 -0.01 0.95 -2.62
3 A UT Arlington (12-21, 93.2) 72-57 -6.75 4.21 0.01 0.95 8.01
3 A UT Arlington (12-21, 93.2) 70-50 -6.75 4.21 0.01 0.95 8.01
3 H Cal Baptist (23-11, 94.4) 58-74 -5.52 5.44 -0.01 0.95 -2.62
3 A Florida Int (21-12, 94.3) 77-66 -5.56 5.40 0.01 0.95 10.26
3 H Illinois St (23-13, 94.4) 55-59 -5.52 5.44 -0.01 0.95 -2.62
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141.59
|
winning pts = 170.4299 losing points = -28.8351
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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